W5.1_UDS_ Education Insurance Or Saving Or Other

  1. Problem Evaluation

I have two years old daughter, I want her to be a doctor. To become a good doctor she should study in the best university and it must be expensive. From Now I need to choose strategy to collect more money for her education especially in university.

  1. Development of feasible alternatives

There are some common alternatives to collect more money and you can still doing your job such as:

  • Purchasing gold
  • Investing in property
  • Investing in stock market
  • Education Insurance
  • Saving

In the first three alternatives need more initial investment/cash, so it would be hard for me. But I still analyze and compare all of the alternatives to get more option.

  1. Development the outcome for each alternative

To choose the best alternative I will use Interest Rate of Return (IRR) Method and External Rate of Return (ERR) to compare all the alternatives. I still use IRR Method because it more common economical parameter and usually use in my company. ERR Method is the new one and has two basic advantages over IRR:

  • It usually be solved for directly, without needing to resort to trial and error
  • It is not subject to the possibility of multiple rates of return.
  1. Selection of criteria

Decision rule of IRR and ERR method is Alternative will be feasible if IRR and ERR value greater than MARR 4.93% (in Indonesia we usually use BI Rate). So in this evaluation I will eliminate alternative with IRR and ERR value less than BI Rate, because it not economically feasible.

  1. Analysis and comparison of the alternative

This calculation using data as below (Data of Purchasing Gold, Investing in Property, and Investing in Stock Market using colleague’s experience):

Table 1. Alternatives Data

Figure 1. Formula

Each IRR and ERR of alternatives table comparison are show below:

Table 2. IRR Calculation

Table 3. ERR Calculation

IRR and ERR of alternative purchasing gold is less than MARR, so this alternative can be eliminated.

  1. Alternative selection

Base on calculation alternative investing in Property is preferred to choose because it gives the highest value in IRR and ERR Method. It would give me more option to choose the best university of my daughter.

  1. Performance monitoring & Post Evaluation Result

All the alternatives have some risk and also assumptions change so I must to identify and mitigate them, but I still believe in quote “High risk high return”.

References

  1. Sullivan, G. W., Wicks, M. E., & Koelling, C. P. (2014). Engineering economy 16th Edition. Chapter 5 – Evaluating a Single Project., pp.210-263.
  2. Mind Tools. (2017). Net Present Value (NPV) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR). Retrieved from https://www.mindtools.com/pages/article/newTED_74.htm
  3. Axa Mandiri. (2017). Asuransi Mandiri Sejahtera Cerdas. Retrieved from https://www.axa-mandiri.co.id/produk/asuransi-pendidikan/
  4. Bank of Indonesia. (2017). BI 7-day (Reverse) Repo Rate. Retrieved from  http://www.bi.go.id/en/moneter/bi-7day-RR/data/Contents/Default.aspx
 

3 thoughts on “W5.1_UDS_ Education Insurance Or Saving Or Other”

  1. WOW Pak Dhanu……. MUCH better this week. BUT as I did not REJECT your W5 posting but only asked you to EXPAND on it, if you wish, for the purposes of your BCWP and ACWP, you are free to claim this as your W7 blog and not your W5.1?

    Up to you but you’ve done exactly what I was hoping you would do, and if you WISH (your option) what you might want to consider doing is using Purchasing Power Parity and creating ANOTHER blog posting but this time turn to Chapter 8 and using those tools and techniques, see if Gold is still worth rejecting? For more on the use of the stable purchasing power parity of gold as a CURRENCY, and how or why this might be useful for you to know in real life, read over these papers:

    http://pmworldjournal.net/article/exploring-gold-equivalency-for-forecasting-steel-prices-on-pipeline-projects/ AND/OR

    http://pmworldjournal.net/?article=exploring-gold-as-alternative-currency-for-future-cost-estimation-in-telecommunication-projects

    Not only is this useful for you but also I think Bu Irene and Pak Tommy might benefit from this as well?

    Keep up the good work…. Your leadership by example is great and I hope it serves to inspire your team members as well….

    BR,
    Dr. PDG, Jakarta

     
  2. PS Pak Dhanu, in all seriousness, you may want to take a look at this option as well? http://fortune.com/2017/09/06/bitcoin-ethereum-price-gold-real-estate/

    You’ve about as perfect a “real life” example as I could possibly ask for and the point I want to make is you have to look at ALL the “Feasible Alternatives” and not just one or two.

    Don’t have to do this as a blog posting unless it somehow relates to your paper, but you may want to look at putting SOME money into bitcoin, SOME into Gold, SOME into Insurance etc? In other words, go to Chapter 13 in Engineering Economy and look at PORTFOLIO management approach? Instead of choosing only ONE investment option maybe you should consider DIVERSIFYING?

    BR,
    Dr. PDG, Jakarta

     
    1. Thx Dr Paul,
      I will take this advantage of W7 claim credit, and try to focus in finishing 2nd draft paper this week..
      About your topic suggestion, it will post it in another week

      BR,
      Dhanu

       

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *